Property
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Read the base case.
Review the verdict, return metrics and year-one operating model before testing the downside.
123 Maple Lane, Asheville, NC
The base case does not currently support the investment. Rework price, financing, or operating assumptions.
Year-one model
- Gross revenue
- $62,700
- Operating expenses
- $34,356
- Net operating income
- $28,344
- Annual debt service
- $28,741
- Cash invested
- $138,500
See what happens when the forecast moves.
Compare the five-year model and 25 ADR/occupancy combinations before relying on the base case.
Five-year cash flow
Revenue and expenses grow using your assumptions.
| Year | Revenue | Expenses | Cash flow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $62,700 | $34,356 | -$397 |
| Year 2 | $64,581 | $35,387 | $453 |
| Year 3 | $66,518 | $36,448 | $1,329 |
| Year 4 | $68,514 | $37,542 | $2,231 |
| Year 5 | $70,569 | $38,668 | $3,160 |
DSCR sensitivity
ADR down/up the left; occupancy down/up across the top.
| ADR ↓ / Occ. → | -20% | -10% | Base | +10% | +20% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -20% | 0.42x | 0.55x | 0.67x | 0.80x | 0.92x |
| -10% | 0.55x | 0.69x | 0.83x | 0.97x | 1.11x |
| Base | 0.67x | 0.83x | 0.99x | 1.14x | 1.30x |
| +10% | 0.80x | 0.97x | 1.14x | 1.32x | 1.49x |
| +20% | 0.92x | 1.11x | 1.30x | 1.49x | 1.68x |
Turn the work into a client conversation.
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Planning model only. Verify revenue, expenses, financing, taxes, insurance, regulations and property facts with qualified local professionals before relying on this analysis.